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Politics
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
3%chance0
- Vol$810k
- 24h$1k
- Liquidity$34k
- Open interest$70k
- Closesin 61d
In short
- Yes on "Ebola pandemic in 2026" trades at 3% on Polymarket (1 Nov 2026, 12:28 UTC).
- 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: unchanged; 30 days: unchanged.
- Traded: $810k in total, $1k in 24 hours; open interest $70k; liquidity $34k.
- Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Yes under 1¢.
The odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 0 | 38 | +3746 | ||
| No | 97% | 0 | 1.03 | -3746 |
What would move this market
- Votes, court rulings, filings and official announcements, and reporting by the outlets the rules name.
- At 3% Yes is a long shot. Long shots tend to be slightly overpriced, and a confirming headline can multiply the price quickly.
- Thin book: about $34k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Closes:
- 1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 3% means about 3¢ a share and roughly 38x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.
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FAQ
What are the odds on "Ebola pandemic in 2026?"?
At 1 Nov 2026, 12:28 UTC, Polymarket traders put Yes at 3%, which is decimal odds of 38 or American +3746. A Yes share costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
How have the odds moved?
Yes: unchanged in 24 hours, unchanged in 7 days and unchanged in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 1 Nov 2026, 12:28 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 61 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$810k in total and $1k in the last 24 hours, with about $70k in open positions (open interest) and $34k of liquidity in the order book, as of 1 Nov 2026, 12:28 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "Ebola pandemic in 2026?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
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