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Economy
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
41%chancedown 10 pts
- Vol$18.4M
- 24h$801
- Liquidity$49k
- Open interest$100k
- Closesin 59d
- Conductor
- Viking Therapeutics
- PayPal
- GitLab
In short
- Conductor, the favourite in "Which companies will be acquired before 2027", trades at 41% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC).
- 24-hour move: down 11 pts; 7 days: up 11 pts; 30 days: unchanged.
- Traded: $18.4M in total, $801 in 24 hours; open interest $100k; liquidity $49k.
- Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Conductor 62¢.
Every outcome, most likely first
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conductor | 41% | down 10 | 2.4 | +144 | ||
| Viking Therapeutics | 11% | n/a | 9.1 | +809 | ||
| PayPal | 11% | up 2 | 9.1 | +809 | ||
| GitLab | 8% | 0 | 13 | +1207 | ||
| Perplexity AI | 7% | n/a | 15 | +1438 | ||
| MGM Resorts | 6% | 0 | 16 | +1539 | ||
| Brown-Forman | 6% | up 1 | 17 | +1567 | ||
| Zoom Video Communications | 5% | 0 | 19 | +1805 | ||
| Lovable | 5% | n/a | 20 | +1920 | ||
| Snapchat | 5% | 0 | 21 | +2005 | ||
| Anthropic | 4% | up 1 | 28 | +2717 | ||
| BP | 3% | 0 | 29 | +2799 | ||
| Nebius Group | 3% | n/a | 36 | +3536 | ||
| Ubisoft | 2% | n/a | 67 | +6567 | ||
| OpenAI | 1% | n/a | 71 | +7043 |
Biggest moves in 24 hours
Conductor41%
PayPal11%
Brown-Forman6%
Timeline of big moves
· Conductor down 37 pts (79% to 43%)
· Conductor up 25 pts (55% to 79%)
· Conductor up 37 pts (25% to 62%)
What would move this market
- Inflation (CPI, PCE) and jobs reports, Fed officials' speeches, the FOMC statement and dot plot, and what bond and futures markets price for rates.
- Conductor leads Viking Therapeutics by 30 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.
- Thin book: about $49k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Closes:
- 1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 41% means about 41¢ a share and roughly 2.4x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.
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FAQ
Who is favoured in "Which companies will be acquired before 2027"?
At 2 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC, Conductor at 41%, then Viking Therapeutics at 11% and PayPal at 11%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How have the odds moved?
Conductor: down 11 pts in 24 hours, up 11 pts in 7 days and unchanged in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 59 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$18.4M in total and $801 in the last 24 hours, with about $100k in open positions (open interest) and $49k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "Which companies will be acquired before 2027?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
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