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Culture

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: March 31, 2027

5%chancen/a24h

  • Vol$31.0M
  • 24h$8k
  • Liquidity$80k
  • Open interest$363k
  • Closesin 149d
  • March 31, 2027
  • December 31, 2026
March 31, 2027 chance over 30 days: from 6% to 5%.

In short

Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC: March 31, 2027 5%, December 31, 2026 2%. Each outcome is priced on its own (a date or price level can't be ranked like candidates); $31.0M has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 1 April 2027.
Key numbers
  • March 31, 2027, the favourite in "New "Stranger Things" episode released by", trades at 5% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: down 4 pts; 30 days: down 1 pt.
  • Traded: $31.0M in total, $8k in 24 hours; open interest $363k; liquidity $80k.
  • Listed to close on 1 April 2027; bid-ask spread on March 31, 2027 7¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/new-stranger-things-episode-released-by-wednesday”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
March 31, 20275%n/a22+2122
December 31, 20262%044+4344

What would move this market

  • Nominations, release dates, chart and box-office numbers, and announcements by the people involved.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series. If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Closes:
1 Apr 2027, 03:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 5% means about 5¢ a share and roughly 22x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

What are the odds on "New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC, March 31, 2027 at 5%, then December 31, 2026 at 2%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

March 31, 2027: unchanged in 24 hours, down 4 pts in 7 days and down 1 pt in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 April 2027 (1 Apr 2027, 03:59 UTC, in about 149 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$31.0M in total and $8k in the last 24 hours, with about $363k in open positions (open interest) and $80k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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