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Politics

Next Press Secretary announced by...?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: December 31

64%chancen/a24h

  • Vol$883k
  • 24h$4k
  • Liquidity$105k
  • Open interest$109k
  • Closesin 60d
  • December 31
  • November 30
December 31 chance over 30 days: from 85% to 64%.

In short

Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:04 UTC: December 31 64%, November 30 31%. Each outcome is priced on its own (a date or price level can't be ranked like candidates); $883k has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • December 31, the favourite in "Next Press Secretary announced by", trades at 64% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 10:04 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: up 1 pt; 30 days: unchanged.
  • Traded: $883k in total, $4k in 24 hours; open interest $109k; liquidity $105k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on December 31 1¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/next-press-secretary-announced-byptptpt”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:04 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
December 3164%n/a1.57-174
November 3031%down 43.2+223

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • November 3031%

    down 4 pts in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when December 31 moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · December 31 down 5 pts (68% to 63%)

  2. · December 31 up 8 pts (61% to 69%)

  3. · December 31 down 5 pts (66% to 61%)

  4. · December 31 down 5 pts (63% to 57%)

  5. · December 31 down 15 pts (77% to 62%)

  6. · December 31 down 4 pts (81% to 77%)

What would move this market

  • Votes, court rulings, filings and official announcements, and reporting by the outlets the rules name.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 64% means about 64¢ a share and roughly 1.57x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

What are the odds on "Next Press Secretary announced by...?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 10:04 UTC, December 31 at 64%, then November 30 at 31%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

December 31: unchanged in 24 hours, up 1 pt in 7 days and unchanged in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:04 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 60 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$883k in total and $4k in the last 24 hours, with about $109k in open positions (open interest) and $105k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:04 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Next Press Secretary announced by...?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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