PredictRips

PredictRips deals packs of 3 live Polymarket markets. Odds shown before you pay. First pack free.How it works

World

India strike on Pakistan by...?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Chance of Yes

9%chance024h

  • Vol$1.0M
  • 24h$110
  • Liquidity$16k
  • Open interest$24k
  • Closesin 60d
Price history
Yes chance over 30 days: from 13% to 9%.

In short

Prediction markets give Yes a 9% chance (down 1 pt in 24 hours), as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:56 UTC. Over 30 days it is down 4 pts. $1.0M has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • Yes on "India strike on Pakistan by" trades at 9% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 03:56 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: down 1 pt; 7 days: unchanged; 30 days: down 4 pts.
  • Traded: $1.0M in total, $110 in 24 hours; open interest $24k; liquidity $16k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Yes 2¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/india-strike-on-pakistan-by”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:56 UTC. How the numbers work.

The odds

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
Yes9%011+1011
No91%up 11.10-1011

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when Yes moved 5 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · Yes down 6 pts (18% to 11%)

  2. · Yes up 6 pts (12% to 18%)

What would move this market

  • Official statements, negotiations and deadlines, military action, sanctions, and votes at the UN or in parliaments.
  • Time. It closes on 1 January 2027 (about 60 days away). On a deadline question, every day that passes without the event usually pulls the Yes price down, unless news makes it more likely.
  • At 9% Yes is a long shot. Long shots tend to be slightly overpriced, and a confirming headline can multiply the price quickly.
  • Thin book: about $16k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 9% means about 9¢ a share and roughly 11x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

Your first pack is free

Rip a pack of live politics markets

Every pack holds 3 live prediction markets. Odds and pack value are shown before you pay. Hold to the result or cash out at the live price.

Rip your free pack

18+. Packs are random and carry a house edge: pack value at open is about 90% of the price.

FAQ

What are the odds on "India strike on Pakistan by...?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 03:56 UTC, Polymarket traders put Yes at 9%, which is decimal odds of 11 or American +1011. A Yes share costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

How have the odds moved?

Yes: down 1 pt in 24 hours, unchanged in 7 days and down 4 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:56 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 60 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$1.0M in total and $110 in the last 24 hours, with about $24k in open positions (open interest) and $16k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:56 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "India strike on Pakistan by...?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

Related markets

Odds today

Read first