PredictRips

PredictRips deals packs of 3 live Polymarket markets. Odds shown before you pay. First pack free.How it works

World

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: March 31

14%chancedown 3 pts24h

  • Vol$1.4M
  • 24h$126
  • Liquidity$18k
  • Open interest$44k
  • Closesin 150d
  • March 31
  • December 31
March 31 chance over 30 days: from 22% to 14%.

In short

March 31 leads at 14%, ahead of December 31 (7%), as of 2 Nov 2026, 14:50 UTC. March 31 is down 8 pts over 30 days. 2 outcomes are priced and $1.4M has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 April 2027.
Key numbers
  • March 31, the favourite in "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…", trades at 14% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 14:50 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: down 3 pts; 7 days: down 5 pts; 30 days: down 8 pts.
  • Traded: $1.4M in total, $126 in 24 hours; open interest $44k; liquidity $18k.
  • Listed to close on 1 April 2027; bid-ask spread on March 31 16¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/israeli-forces-withdraw-from-beyond-the-litani-river-by”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 14:50 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
March 3114%down 37.1+614
December 317%down 215+1438

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • March 3114%

    down 3 pts in 24h

  • December 317%

    down 2 pts in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when March 31 moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · March 31 down 5 pts (19% to 14%)

What would move this market

  • Official statements, negotiations and deadlines, military action, sanctions, and votes at the UN or in parliaments.
  • A close race: March 31 leads December 31 by 8 points, so a single strong news day could flip the order.
  • Thin book: about $18k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Closes:
1 Apr 2027, 03:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 14% means about 14¢ a share and roughly 7.1x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

Your first pack is free

Rip a pack of live politics markets

Every pack holds 3 live prediction markets. Odds and pack value are shown before you pay. Hold to the result or cash out at the live price.

Rip your free pack

18+. Packs are random and carry a house edge: pack value at open is about 90% of the price.

FAQ

Who is favoured in "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 14:50 UTC, March 31 at 14%, then December 31 at 7%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

March 31: down 3 pts in 24 hours, down 5 pts in 7 days and down 8 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 14:50 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 April 2027 (1 Apr 2027, 03:59 UTC, in about 150 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$1.4M in total and $126 in the last 24 hours, with about $44k in open positions (open interest) and $18k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 14:50 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

Related markets

Odds today

Read first