PredictRips deals packs of 3 live Polymarket markets. Odds shown before you pay. First pack free.How it works
Culture
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
12%chancen/a
- Vol$585k
- 24h$1k
- Liquidity$15k
- Open interest$62k
- Closesin 271d
In short
- Yes on "Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide" trades at 12% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC).
- 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: up 4 pts; 30 days: down 17 pts.
- Traded: $585k in total, $1k in 24 hours; open interest $62k; liquidity $15k.
- Listed to close on 1 August 2027; bid-ask spread on Yes 1¢.
The odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | n/a | 8.7 | +770 | ||
| No | 89% | n/a | 1.13 | -770 |
Timeline of big moves
· Yes down 20 pts (28% to 8%)
· Yes up 6 pts (28% to 35%)
What would move this market
- Nominations, release dates, chart and box-office numbers, and announcements by the people involved.
- At 12% Yes is a long shot. Long shots tend to be slightly overpriced, and a confirming headline can multiply the price quickly.
- Thin book: about $15k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.
- What counts in the end: the source the rules name (atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf). Reports elsewhere move the price; only that source settles it.
How it resolves
Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
- Resolution source:
- atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf
- Closes:
- 1 Aug 2027, 03:59 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 12% means about 12¢ a share and roughly 8.7x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.
Your first pack is free
Rip a pack of live culture markets
Every pack holds 3 live prediction markets. Odds and pack value are shown before you pay. Hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
FAQ
What are the odds on "Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?"?
At 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC, Polymarket traders put Yes at 12%, which is decimal odds of 8.7 or American +770. A Yes share costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
How have the odds moved?
Yes: unchanged in 24 hours, up 4 pts in 7 days and down 17 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 1 August 2027 (1 Aug 2027, 03:59 UTC, in about 271 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules, with atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf as the named source. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$585k in total and $1k in the last 24 hours, with about $62k in open positions (open interest) and $15k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
Related markets
- Highest grossing movie in 2026? · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95%
- Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? · Avengers: Doomsday 53%
- Top Spotify Artist 2026 · Bad Bunny 85%
- Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? · 340-359 13%
- All culture odds
- All big questions