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Culture
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
93%chanceup 2 pts
- Vol$17.9M
- 24h$14k
- Liquidity$2.4M
- Open interest$392k
- Closesin 67d
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day
- Avengers: Doomsday
- Wicked: For Good
- Wuthering Heights
In short
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day, the favourite in "Highest grossing movie in 2026", trades at 93% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 02:09 UTC).
- 24-hour move: up 2 pts; 7 days: down 1 pt; 30 days: down 3 pts.
- Traded: $17.9M in total, $14k in 24 hours; open interest $392k; liquidity $2.4M.
- Listed to close on 8 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Spider-Man: Brand New Day 3¢.
Every outcome, most likely first
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 93% | up 2 | 1.08 | -1233 | ||
| Avengers: Doomsday | 7% | down 1 | 14 | +1299 |
Biggest moves in 24 hours
Spider-Man: Brand New Day93%
Avengers: Doomsday7%
Timeline of big moves
· Spider-Man: Brand New Day down 5 pts (94% to 89%)
· Spider-Man: Brand New Day up 11 pts (83% to 94%)
· Spider-Man: Brand New Day down 9 pts (91% to 83%)
· Spider-Man: Brand New Day down 6 pts (96% to 90%)
What would move this market
- Nominations, release dates, chart and box-office numbers, and announcements by the people involved.
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads Avengers: Doomsday by 85 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.
- What counts in the end: the source the rules name (www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses). Reports elsewhere move the price; only that source settles it.
In the news
- Man City, Bayern among the good, bad and lucky in Europe's top leagues · ESPN FC, 31 Oct 2026, 10:02 UTC
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
- Resolution source:
- www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses
- Closes:
- 8 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 93% means about 93¢ a share and roughly 1.08x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.
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FAQ
Who is favoured in "Highest grossing movie in 2026"?
At 2 Nov 2026, 02:09 UTC, Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 93%, then Avengers: Doomsday at 7% and Wicked: For Good at 0.1%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How have the odds moved?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: up 2 pts in 24 hours, down 1 pt in 7 days and down 3 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 02:09 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 8 January 2027 (8 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 67 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules, with www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses as the named source. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$17.9M in total and $14k in the last 24 hours, with about $392k in open positions (open interest) and $2.4M of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 02:09 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "Highest grossing movie in 2026?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
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