PredictRips deals packs of 3 live Polymarket markets. Odds shown before you pay. First pack free.How it works
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
35%chanceup 16 pts
- Vol$2.1M
- 24h$558k
- Liquidity$162k
- Open interest$209k
- Closesin 1d
- 400-419
- 380-399
- 420-439
- 440-459
In short
- 400-419, the favourite in "Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026", trades at 35% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 16:40 UTC).
- 24-hour move: up 16 pts; 7 days: up 34 pts; 30 days: unchanged.
- Traded: $2.1M in total, $558k in 24 hours; open interest $209k; liquidity $162k.
- Listed to close on 3 November 2026; bid-ask spread on 400-419 under 1¢.
Every outcome, most likely first
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400-419 | 35% | up 16 | 2.9 | +186 | ||
| 380-399 | 27% | up 13 | 3.7 | +269 | ||
| 420-439 | 17% | down 3 | 6.0 | +502 | ||
| 440-459 | 8% | down 8 | 13 | +1207 | ||
| 360-379 | 6% | down 1 | 16 | +1487 | ||
| 460-479 | 4% | down 7 | 24 | +2281 | ||
| 480-499 | 1% | down 7 | 71 | +7043 |
Biggest moves in 24 hours
400-41935%
380-39927%
440-4598%
Timeline of big moves
· 400-419 up 20 pts (16% to 36%)
· 400-419 up 12 pts (2% to 13%)
What would move this market
- Nominations, release dates, chart and box-office numbers, and announcements by the people involved.
- A close race: 400-419 leads 380-399 by 8 points, so a single strong news day could flip the order.
- What counts in the end: the source the rules name (x.com/elonmusk). Reports elsewhere move the price; only that source settles it.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
- Resolution source:
- x.com/elonmusk
- Closes:
- 3 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 35% means about 35¢ a share and roughly 2.9x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.
Your first pack is free
Rip a pack of live culture markets
Every pack holds 3 live prediction markets. Odds and pack value are shown before you pay. Hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
FAQ
Who is favoured in "Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026"?
At 2 Nov 2026, 16:40 UTC, 400-419 at 35%, then 380-399 at 27% and 420-439 at 17%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How have the odds moved?
400-419: up 16 pts in 24 hours, up 34 pts in 7 days and unchanged in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 16:40 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 3 November 2026 (3 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC, in about 1 day) and settles under Polymarket's written rules, with x.com/elonmusk as the named source. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$2.1M in total and $558k in the last 24 hours, with about $209k in open positions (open interest) and $162k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 16:40 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
Related markets
- Highest grossing movie in 2026? · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95%
- Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? · Avengers: Doomsday 51%
- Top Spotify Artist 2026 · Bad Bunny 85%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16%
- Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 36%
- Next French Presidential Election · Marine Le Pen 40%
- Netanyahu out by...? · June 30, 2027 43%
- All culture odds
- All big questions