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Culture
Top Spotify Artist 2026
85%chancen/a
- Vol$1.8M
- 24h$448
- Liquidity$247k
- Open interest$62k
- Closesin 90d
- Bad Bunny
- Drake
- Taylor Swift
- Bruno Mars
In short
- Bad Bunny, the favourite in "Top Spotify Artist 2026", trades at 85% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 19:24 UTC).
- 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: down 5 pts; 30 days: down 1 pt.
- Traded: $1.8M in total, $448 in 24 hours; open interest $62k; liquidity $247k.
- Listed to close on 1 February 2027; bid-ask spread on Bad Bunny 1¢.
Every outcome, most likely first
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Bunny | 85% | n/a | 1.18 | -545 | ||
| Drake | 7% | 0 | 15 | +1360 | ||
| Taylor Swift | 4% | 0 | 26 | +2464 | ||
| Bruno Mars | 2% | 0 | 45 | +4445 |
Timeline of big moves
· Bad Bunny up 5 pts (86% to 90%)
· Bad Bunny up 7 pts (85% to 91%)
What would move this market
- Nominations, release dates, chart and box-office numbers, and announcements by the people involved.
- Bad Bunny leads Drake by 78 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.
- What counts in the end: the source the rules name (newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiob). Reports elsewhere move the price; only that source settles it.
How it resolves
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
- Resolution source:
- newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/
- Closes:
- 1 Feb 2027, 04:59 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 85% means about 85¢ a share and roughly 1.18x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.
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FAQ
Who is favoured in "Top Spotify Artist 2026"?
At 2 Nov 2026, 19:24 UTC, Bad Bunny at 85%, then Drake at 7% and Taylor Swift at 4%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How have the odds moved?
Bad Bunny: unchanged in 24 hours, down 5 pts in 7 days and down 1 pt in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 19:24 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 1 February 2027 (1 Feb 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 90 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules, with newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/ as the named source. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$1.8M in total and $448 in the last 24 hours, with about $62k in open positions (open interest) and $247k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 19:24 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "Top Spotify Artist 2026". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
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