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World

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: China

80%chancedown 2 pts24h

  • Vol$2.2M
  • 24h$60k
  • Liquidity$805k
  • Open interest$138k
  • Closesin 59d
  • China
  • No meeting by December 31
  • United States
  • Russia
China chance over 30 days: from 76% to 80%.

In short

China leads at 80%, ahead of No meeting by December 31 (15%) and United States (1%), as of 2 Nov 2026, 19:47 UTC. China is up 4 pts over 30 days. 3 outcomes are priced and $2.2M has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • China, the favourite in "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026", trades at 80% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 19:47 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: down 3 pts; 7 days: up 3 pts; 30 days: up 4 pts.
  • Traded: $2.2M in total, $60k in 24 hours; open interest $138k; liquidity $805k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on China 1¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 19:47 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
China80%down 21.26-388
No meeting by December 3115%down 16.9+590
United States1%up 174+7307

12 more outcomes are priced under 0.5% and not listed.

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • China80%

    down 2 pts in 24h

  • No meeting by December 3115%

    down 1 pt in 24h

  • United States1%

    up 1 pt in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when China moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · China up 5 pts (76% to 81%)

  2. · China up 5 pts (72% to 77%)

  3. · China down 4 pts (76% to 72%)

  4. · China down 6 pts (80% to 74%)

  5. · China up 5 pts (72% to 77%)

What would move this market

  • Official statements, negotiations and deadlines, military action, sanctions, and votes at the UN or in parliaments.
  • China leads No meeting by December 31 by 65 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 80% means about 80¢ a share and roughly 1.26x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

Who is favoured in "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 19:47 UTC, China at 80%, then No meeting by December 31 at 15% and United States at 1%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

China: down 3 pts in 24 hours, up 3 pts in 7 days and up 4 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 19:47 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 59 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$2.2M in total and $60k in the last 24 hours, with about $138k in open positions (open interest) and $805k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 19:47 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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