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Economy
Crude Oil all time high by...?
29%chance0
- Vol$5.2M
- 24h$7k
- Liquidity$129k
- Open interest$776k
- Closesin 61d
- March 31, 2027
- December 31
In short
- March 31, 2027, the favourite in "Crude Oil all time high by", trades at 29% on Polymarket (1 Nov 2026, 16:56 UTC).
- 24-hour move: down 1 pt; 7 days: up 2 pts; 30 days: up 8 pts.
- Traded: $5.2M in total, $7k in 24 hours; open interest $776k; liquidity $129k.
- Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on March 31, 2027 3¢.
Every outcome, most likely first
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 29% | 0 | 3.5 | +251 | ||
| December 31 | 18% | up 1 | 5.7 | +471 |
Biggest moves in 24 hours
December 3118%
March 31, 202729%
Timeline of big moves
· March 31, 2027 up 7 pts (21% to 27%)
· March 31, 2027 up 5 pts (18% to 23%)
· March 31, 2027 down 10 pts (28% to 18%)
· March 31, 2027 up 8 pts (20% to 28%)
What would move this market
- Inflation (CPI, PCE) and jobs reports, Fed officials' speeches, the FOMC statement and dot plot, and what bond and futures markets price for rates.
- What counts in the end: the source the rules name (www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html). Reports elsewhere move the price; only that source settles it.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
- Resolution source:
- www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html
- Closes:
- 1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 29% means about 29¢ a share and roughly 3.5x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.
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FAQ
What are the odds on "Crude Oil all time high by...?"?
At 1 Nov 2026, 16:56 UTC, March 31, 2027 at 29%, then December 31 at 18%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How have the odds moved?
March 31, 2027: down 1 pt in 24 hours, up 2 pts in 7 days and up 8 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 1 Nov 2026, 16:56 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 61 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules, with www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html as the named source. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$5.2M in total and $7k in the last 24 hours, with about $776k in open positions (open interest) and $129k of liquidity in the order book, as of 1 Nov 2026, 16:56 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "Crude Oil all time high by...?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
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