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Economy

IPOs before 2027?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: Anthropic

92%chanceup 6 pts24h

  • Vol$7.6M
  • 24h$6k
  • Liquidity$222k
  • Open interest$374k
  • Closesin 60d
  • Anthropic
  • Perplexity
  • Celonis
  • Discord
Anthropic chance over 30 days: from 83% to 92%.

In short

Anthropic leads at 92%, ahead of Perplexity (11%) and Celonis (9%), as of 1 Nov 2026, 20:40 UTC. Anthropic is up 10 pts over 30 days. 29 outcomes are priced and $7.6M has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • Anthropic, the favourite in "IPOs before 2027", trades at 92% on Polymarket (1 Nov 2026, 20:40 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: up 6 pts; 7 days: up 17 pts; 30 days: up 10 pts.
  • Traded: $7.6M in total, $6k in 24 hours; open interest $374k; liquidity $222k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Anthropic 2¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/ipos-before-2027”, prices as of 1 Nov 2026, 20:40 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
Anthropic92%up 61.09-1150
Perplexity11%n/a9.4+839
Celonis9%n/a11+1017
Discord6%n/a16+1475
Rippling6%up 116+1539
Freddie Mac5%up 120+1941
Revolut5%up 121+2028
WHOOP5%021+2028
Stripe5%n/a22+2074
Vanta5%n/a22+2098
Ledger4%n/a24+2281
Glean4%up 126+2497
Remote4%n/a27+2567
Mistral AI4%029+2757
Applied Intuition3%029+2799
OpenAI3%029+2841
Fannie Mae3%n/a30+2930
ByteDance3%034+3290
Anysphere (Cursor)3%034+3348
Canva3%n/a35+3409
Databricks3%up 136+3471
Ramp3%037+3604
Ripple Labs3%038+3674
Waymo2%047+4551
Anduril2%n/a59+5782
Epic Games2%n/a59+5782
Anduril Industries1%n/a69+6797
Brex0.9%n/a111+11011
Deel0.7%n/a154+15285

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • Anthropic92%

    up 6 pts in 24h

  • Revolut5%

    up 1 pt in 24h

  • Freddie Mac5%

    up 1 pt in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when Anthropic moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · Anthropic up 5 pts (88% to 92%)

  2. · Anthropic down 6 pts (95% to 89%)

  3. · Anthropic up 20 pts (74% to 95%)

  4. · Anthropic down 5 pts (83% to 77%)

  5. · Anthropic down 4 pts (86% to 81%)

  6. · Anthropic up 9 pts (77% to 86%)

What would move this market

  • Inflation (CPI, PCE) and jobs reports, Fed officials' speeches, the FOMC statement and dot plot, and what bond and futures markets price for rates.
  • Anthropic leads Perplexity by 81 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 92% means about 92¢ a share and roughly 1.09x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

Who is favoured in "IPOs before 2027"?

At 1 Nov 2026, 20:40 UTC, Anthropic at 92%, then Perplexity at 11% and Celonis at 9%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

Anthropic: up 6 pts in 24 hours, up 17 pts in 7 days and up 10 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 1 Nov 2026, 20:40 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 60 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$7.6M in total and $6k in the last 24 hours, with about $374k in open positions (open interest) and $222k of liquidity in the order book, as of 1 Nov 2026, 20:40 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "IPOs before 2027?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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