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Economy

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: Sam Altman - OpenAI

7%chance024h

  • Vol$721k
  • 24h$321
  • Liquidity$7k
  • Open interest$34k
  • Closesin 61d
  • Sam Altman - OpenAI
  • Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
  • Andy Jassy - Amazon
  • Sundar Pichai - Google
Sam Altman - OpenAI chance over 30 days: from 4% to 7%.

In short

Sam Altman - OpenAI leads at 7%, ahead of Brian Armstrong - Coinbase (6%) and Andy Jassy - Amazon (5%), as of 1 Nov 2026, 03:49 UTC. Sam Altman - OpenAI is up 3 pts over 30 days. 5 outcomes are priced and $721k has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • Sam Altman - OpenAI, the favourite in "Which CEOs will be out before 2027", trades at 7% on Polymarket (1 Nov 2026, 03:49 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: down 1 pt; 7 days: up 1 pt; 30 days: up 3 pts.
  • Traded: $721k in total, $321 in 24 hours; open interest $34k; liquidity $7k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Sam Altman - OpenAI 3¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/which-ceos-will-be-out-before-2027”, prices as of 1 Nov 2026, 03:49 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
Sam Altman - OpenAI7%015+1427
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase6%down 117+1609
Andy Jassy - Amazon5%down 120+1941
Sundar Pichai - Google5%021+1983
Dan Clancy - Twitch4%n/a29+2757

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • Andy Jassy - Amazon5%

    down 1 pt in 24h

  • Brian Armstrong - Coinbase6%

    down 1 pt in 24h

  • Sam Altman - OpenAI7%

    0 in 24h

What would move this market

  • Inflation (CPI, PCE) and jobs reports, Fed officials' speeches, the FOMC statement and dot plot, and what bond and futures markets price for rates.
  • A close race: Sam Altman - OpenAI leads Brian Armstrong - Coinbase by 1 points, so a single strong news day could flip the order.
  • Thin book: about $7k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 7% means about 7¢ a share and roughly 15x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

Who is favoured in "Which CEOs will be out before 2027"?

At 1 Nov 2026, 03:49 UTC, Sam Altman - OpenAI at 7%, then Brian Armstrong - Coinbase at 6% and Andy Jassy - Amazon at 5%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

Sam Altman - OpenAI: down 1 pt in 24 hours, up 1 pt in 7 days and up 3 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 1 Nov 2026, 03:49 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 61 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$721k in total and $321 in the last 24 hours, with about $34k in open positions (open interest) and $7k of liquidity in the order book, as of 1 Nov 2026, 03:49 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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