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Elections · Germany
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
75%chanceup 2 pts
- Vol$508k
- 24h$176
- Liquidity$172k
- Open interest$78k
- Closesin 211d
- Ulrich Siegmund
- Sven Schulze
- Sepp Müller
- Claudia Wittig
In short
- Ulrich Siegmund, the favourite in "Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt", trades at 75% on Polymarket (1 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC).
- 24-hour move: up 2 pts; 7 days: down 6 pts; 30 days: up 8 pts.
- Traded: $508k in total, $176 in 24 hours; open interest $78k; liquidity $172k.
- Listed to close on 1 June 2027; bid-ask spread on Ulrich Siegmund 2¢.
Every outcome, most likely first
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulrich Siegmund | 75% | up 2 | 1.33 | -300 | ||
| Sven Schulze | 3% | 0 | 35 | +3409 | ||
| Sepp Müller | 2% | 0 | 49 | +4778 | ||
| Claudia Wittig | 1% | n/a | 100 | +9900 |
Biggest moves in 24 hours
Ulrich Siegmund75%
Timeline of big moves
· Ulrich Siegmund down 4 pts (75% to 71%)
· Ulrich Siegmund down 6 pts (81% to 75%)
· Ulrich Siegmund up 6 pts (74% to 79%)
· Ulrich Siegmund up 8 pts (71% to 78%)
· Ulrich Siegmund down 6 pts (82% to 76%)
· Ulrich Siegmund down 5 pts (82% to 77%)
What would move this market
- Polls, candidate entries and withdrawals, endorsements, debates and fundraising reports; at the end, early-vote data and official results as they are counted.
- Ulrich Siegmund leads Sven Schulze by 72 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.
How it resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Closes:
- 1 Jun 2027, 03:59 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 75% means about 75¢ a share and roughly 1.33x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary, how election odds work.
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FAQ
Who is favoured in "Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt"?
At 1 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC, Ulrich Siegmund at 75%, then Sven Schulze at 3% and Sepp Müller at 2%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How have the odds moved?
Ulrich Siegmund: up 2 pts in 24 hours, down 6 pts in 7 days and up 8 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 1 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 1 June 2027 (1 Jun 2027, 03:59 UTC, in about 211 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$508k in total and $176 in the last 24 hours, with about $78k in open positions (open interest) and $172k of liquidity in the order book, as of 1 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
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